Forbes.com Says San Diego Prices May Rise Over Next Half Year

Some good news, guys! And we are seeing it in buyers beginning to be active, though still afraid to get their feet wet. We bought a house for investment, and we're not alone in the industry. Our main lender contact just bought a house to fix and possibly flip, as well! It is definitely in the air! Read this excerpt from Forbes.com...

Subprime still matters, as do the concentration of adjustable rate mortgages. Transaction volume, however, especially over the next 12 months is becoming an increasingly important gauge of a market's health. This month the National Association of Realtors reported that sales volume of existing homes was up 2.9%, the first such month-to-month rise since July.

In cities like San Diego, one of five major metros where transactions rose, that's good news, assuming it's sustained. What makes transaction volume a good indicator is that it shows how easy it is for people to get loans and how much confidence there is in the market. If mortgages are available and buyers have some faith in the value of the home, they're more likely to buy.
San Diego's present conditions suggest that over the next half-year, prices may start to rise. That's because "there's usually a three- to six-month lag between when transactions go up and prices go up," says Jonathan Miller, president of Miller Samuel, a Manhattan real estate appraisal firm.

Another good sign for the coming year? Increased credit availability.

We took into account increased Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (GSE) loan limits. The new legislation will open up credit in markets such as Sacramento and San Diego by boosting the GSE loan limit by 125% of the median price. That's a huge deal for San Diego, where 18% of the market will see improved lending conditions, based on projections by Radar Logic, a New York-based real estate research firm.

http://www.forbes.com/2008/03/31/homes-risky-property-forbeslife-cx_mw_0331realestate.html?partner=email

CNBC Reports: "S&P sees end to subprime mortgage writedowns"

Standard & Poor's said subprime write-downs for large financial institutions are likely past the halfway mark, but they could still hit $285 billion.

What this means for the consumer:

• S&P's statement gave a boost to financial stocks and helped Wall Street indexes pare losses.
• The purging of bad loans in the subprime market through foreclosure or refinancing ultimately will strengthen everyone's ability to obtain mortgages.
• Fewer foreclosures mean fewer vacant homes, which may make a neighborhood a more desirable place in which to live. That, in turn, could increase the demand for housing.

Making sense of the news is another way I serve East County as Your Personal Realtor!